Some thoughts on
Russian spying in the U.S. These are my most recent. . .
Let’s focus on the
concept of “useful idiots.” It is someone used as a tool that
may be completely innocent or may be participatory in some degree in
a spy operation but not fully aprised of the extent and/or scope of
an operation. Ultimately the useful idiot can also become the “fall
guy.”
My view: The
operation put forth by the Russian FSB may have gotten some lucky
breaks in particular the fact that so many people associated with the
Trump campaign happened to have had connections to Russian
businessmen and governmental officials which probably was just
business and innocent of spying and collusion. (except for that
meeting Donnie Jr. had) Thus, useful idiots.
What was the scope
and goals of the operation, an operation that must have changed over
the time and when did it start?
By mid 2015 there
were many who were already vying to be the Republican Presidential
candidate. It was pretty obvious by then that Hillary would be the
Democratic candidate. Bernie hadn‘t formally announced until
May/June 2015. And for a brief period he was also looked upon as a
joke. Ted Cruz had already announced March 2015 and the rest of the
Republican crowd followed. Trump announced June 2015. Russian
intelligence was watching all this and I think after Trump entered
the race and was gaining popularity by late summer that the scope of
the operation widened but they also had their focus.
I believe the
operation was first hatched by late 2014 after the Republicans got
complete control of congress. It was clear that divisions between
Rep/Dem, Conserv/Lib were very deep. The goal then was to further
these divisions and sow chaos and discord in the U.S. around the
Presidential election. Hillary was already under investigation by
congressional Republicans for Benghazi and the FBI for her personal
email server. So that was another benefit for the FSB to sow
discontent. The operation would take advantage of that to help drive
that wedge between her and angry skeptical American voters, namely
Republicans and independents. It is supposed that because Putin
hated Hillary that that was the focus. No, not the focus just another
way into the operation to disrupt the election, to cause dissent, to
discredit individuals and for people to lose trust in their
government. The goals were much larger than just taking revenge on
Hillary Clinton. The goal was to somehow destroy the U.S. association
with allies in Europe. Would Russian intelligence do this? No, not
completely. They were relying on the discord and chaos that would
result.
In addition “fake”
news was planted in stories throughout the internet and made to look
like acceptable “real” news. So many of these fake stories ended
up in credible media. Cable news programs helped by focusing on one
distracting story after another. The same as they are doing today.
(It’s what our viewers want to hear.) Hillary and Bernie fought it
out for almost a year and supporters of both were more concerned
about defeating the other candidate while Trump’s ascendency was
treated as pure entertainment in both late night TV comedy shows and
cable news. This was either a lucky break for the FSB or they helped
by planting fake news to stir this pot. Certainly the DNC hack which
was not fake news really stirred the pot. I believe that she did not
get the vote she should have gotten as a result of this discord.
When it looked like
Trump was going to swamp the field, other parts of the operation
kicked in. Michael Flynn, Paul Manafort, Carter Page, Jared Kushner
and of course Donald Trump all had connections to Russians and the
Russian government for various business dealings. (Useful idiots).
When people like Jeff Sessions and Reince Priebus had meetings with
the Russian ambassador, the FSB probably couldn’t contain
themselves with joy. Wow look at all the connections! The seeds were
now planted whereby the operation could be easily rolled up and blame
would be aportioned to all of them. In other words it was your
classic set up for fall guys.
I imagine that they
were so surprised when Trump actually won. (As surprised as he was) I
don’t think this was the part of the plan they were relying on. But
fortune smiled upon them. The plan, according to me BTW, was that if
Hillary was elected she’d be so discredited and the country would
be so divided that it may have done far more damage than if Trump was
elected. In fact the FSB could continue their operation to sow
discord after a Hillary electoral win. The Democrats wouldn’t be
investigating anything. Their candidate won. The Democrats would be
working to continue the programs already in effect since Obama,
wanting to figure out how to win back congress and wouldn’t have
the time and couldn’t justify spending resources or using up
political capital to do any investigating. Besides Republicans were
in charge of congress and would be still hounding Hillary and voting
to overturn Obamacare. I doubt there would have been rapprochement
between HRC and most Republicans. And the Democrats would be trying
to win over the electorate who didn’t vote for her. But just in
case there was a problem the FSB still had their useful idiots to
take the fall.
With Hillary as
President, a woman, half the country would be even angrier than the
half that is now angry with Trump. And who knows where that would
have led. That is the half that owns most of the guns. Right now
they think they are in catbird seat with Trump as their President.
I think ultimately
that all of the investigations into Trump won’t turn up anything
that he may have done that was illegal. I don’t think that he will
be found to be in collusion nor did he engage anyone in Russian
intelligence to help him try to win the election. He’s the kind of
narcissist who thinks he is superior and doesn’t need any help and
could do it all on his own. All he ever wanted from the Russians was
to make money. He did use some of the hacking when he was told that
Russians hacked into DNC and combined with the HRC e-mail problems
and he used that information to his benefit. But he is still a useful
idiot and also a fall guy by association. Of course I don’t pity
him. Just don’t see him going to jail. He still might get pushed
aside by the 25th amendment for complete incompetence or
if we’re lucky die from a stroke or heart attack.
But what does it all
mean? One thing is don’t follow the cable news shows. They focus
on one mostly irrelevant thing after another our useful idiot does
for the short period of time that it is in vogue and then they move
on. They have little regard for historical evidence, form no overall
framework of ideas into which the little petty events can fit into.
And they ignore all other issues to the detriment of their viewers,
most of whom are in our demographic. The other thing is we may end
up with nothing, nothing at all after all the investigating. If that
is the case we could end up being in thrall to Trump and Trump like
politicians for a long long time to come and we will be going
backwards . . .
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